Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating what is happening on the market right now and might happen in the future on the basis of external events and factors. For the currency market, such factors are news, economic and financial statistics, meetings of global Central banks, and speeches delivered by their representatives. Fundamental approach allows to analyze both short- and long-term perspectives.
To draw conclusions based on fundamental analysis, it is desirable for a trader to understand the economic and political situation and be able to analyze the news of the financial market. This will help to predict price fluctuations with a high probability. Adherents of fundamental analysis follow the news of financial markets and find connections between them, after which they change the trading strategy in the necessary direction. There is also an easier way to apply fundamental analysis - to follow the forecasts from specialists. On this page, you can see the forecasts made by RoboForex experts using fundamental analysis.
24.06.2014
Echoes of a slowdown in the euro zone are now being heard in Germany. The business activity index fell to 109.7, arriving at the low level of last December. If this index is analyzed by sector, the greatest loss was suffered in production. In general, as a result, the German GDP may show growth in the region of 2%, which in the current environment is an unattainable value for their colleagues in the currency bloc.
23.06.2014
Recovery of the European economy is fading. For the past several months the French PMI indicators continue to stagnate, and this time the industrial and service PMI slipped to 47.8 and 48.2 respectively, which means a reduction in the economy of the Fifth Republic on almost all fronts. Moreover, although the German figures are above the cherished mark of 50, they still maintain a downward trend.
20.06.2014
Despite the unprecedented measures taken by the ECB to deal with low inflation, the IMF considered them insufficient. In the latest report the IMF calls on the European monetary authorities to follow the example of the Fed, starting a large-scale purchase of Eurobonds in order to stimulate economic growth. IMF fears are more than understandable, despite the seriousness of the decisions taken by Mario Draghi, their effectiveness is far from obvious.
19.06.2014
Janet Yellen continues to hold a course for the gradual phasing out of QE3, last night it was announced that the Fed is reducing the purchases of Treasury obligations and mortgage bonds by another $ 10 billion, bringing the total program to a modest $ 35 billion. The decision was more than expected and after the meeting the market was expecting comments from Yellen on the prospects of higher interest rates.
18.06.2014
The outcome of the Fed meeting will be known on late Wednesday. Shrinking the QE3 by another $ 10 billion - is pretty much settled. It is unlikely that the regulator will retreat from its course to the full exit from the program by autumn. Thus, from the previous $ 85 billion the QE3 will “slim down” to a modest $ 25 billion, and hence the complete cessation of purchases of mortgage bonds and treasury obligations will happen in just two or three months.
17.06.2014
The week started on a negative point for the Eurodollar. May inflation data came out unchanged and sentiment indexes in Germany and the euro zone were in a loss. Earlier surveys have expressed concern that the loud measures announced at the last meeting of the ECB may not bring the expected results. The fact is that the ECB relies on stimulation of lending by the banks.
13.06.2014
On Friday the GBP/USD pair is trading with an increase and updating the May price peaks - and this is not the limit of the optimism.
13.06.2014
In the end of the week the main currency pair is once again under pressure from the "bears", but the sellers are not very active before the weekend.
