The Big Picture
Friday saw an important decision being reached in regard to the Euro-crisis. The small and rather unknown rating agency DBRS reported a positive outlook for Portugal. Doing so the agency credited Portugal´s progress in the reduction of its household deficit. The other three agencies S&P, Moody´s and Fitch rate Portugal´s bonds as junk. DBRS´s decision was keenly anticipated, as a downgrade would have made it difficult for the ECB to buy Portuguese debt in its bond buyback program. The ECB is not permitted to purchase junk bonds under it own rules and this would have led to Portugal experiencing vastly higher financing costs. In total, the Portuguese government now has more time to implement its reforms.
The DAX is in a sideways trend. Resistance is at 10820, support at 10250.
Euro / USD
The Euro is in a large sideways trend against the Dollar. Support is at 1.0822, resistance at 1.1429.
USD / JPY
The USD is in an upward trend.
Gold is in the process of bottoming. Support is at 1240 USD.
WTI Oil is in an upward trend
German stocks traded almost unchanged over options expiry, the DAX rose 0.09%. Largest gainer was SAP, gaining 3.37% after announcing good trade in their cloud business. Daimler was on the losing side, dropping 2.09% after announcing a weaker outlook. US stocks were also in the spotlight of quarterly earnings. Heavyweight Microsoft rose 4.21% after releasing good earnings, which were also positively influenced by their cloud business. McDonalds rose 3.04% after good numbers and General Electric lost 0.31% on the back of a weaker outlook. Asian stocks start firmer in to the new week. The USD rises against the Euro and Yen. Gold trades softer and WTI Oil loses 0.59%.
09:30 Germany: Market PMI
15:45 USA: Market PMI
RoboForex Analytical Department
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