Morning Call. Market Overview for 12.08.2016

12.08.2016

The Big Picture:

The Dax traded up 0.89% yesterday. The best performer being Henkel at +5%. Henkel delivered great quarterly earning and also revised its  margin / profitability forecast upwards. The stock rose to its all-time high. In addition RWE showed very good performance at plus 4%, in light of a reduction in losses. RWE is the second best performing stock in the DAX so far this year, at plus 33,69%. The global policy of low to no interest rates continues, as the Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered rates by 0.25% to 2%, whilst remaining dovish on more measures to combat deflation. New Zealand Government Bonds traded at 2,10% yield. Compared to German Government Bonds however, this 2,1% can be considered high yield, Germany this week having issued a 10 year bond with a zero percent coupon and trading at 100,90%, giving a negative yield of 0.10%. The German state has never before been able to finance itself at such levels. In essence, should you decide to lend the German Government your money, you will have to pay them to do so.

Pre-Market direction of US Futures (07.00 CET)

The S&P is trading unchanged
 

DAX

The DAX is in an upward trend. Main resistance at 10,500 has been broken to the upside. Next resistance is seen at 10860. We expect a continuation of the upwards trend.



 

Euro / USD

The Euro is trading sideways in a large trend. Support is at 1,0822, resistance at 1,1429.


 
 

JPY / USD

The USD has turned positive against the Yen. Biggest support will be found at 100,31.


 
 

Gold

Gold is trending upwards midterm, short term we are in a sideways range. The next major resistance is at 1375, support will be found at 1300.


 
 

WTI Oil

Oil is in a mid term reversal upwards, having found a double bottom.




Overnight:

The S&P 500 rose 0.47%. US indices were able to reach new highs again. Asian Equities are trading higher this morning, the Nikkei 225 being up 1.21%. Chinese economic data disappointed, industrial production, retail and fixed asset investment  coming in lower than expected. The US Dollar traded up slightly against the Yen and unchanged against the Euro. WTI Oil trended higher whilst Gold starts unchanged in to European markets.
 

Today´s numbers (CET)

08:00 Germany: German CPI (Consumer prices)
14:30 USA: Retail Sales, and PPI ( Producer prices)
 

Company news :

No significant data expected


RoboForex Analytical Department

Attention!

Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.