Forex Fundamental analysis
One of the key factors, which has influence on any trader’s success is his ability to correctly predict the market movements. The two main methods are technical and fundamental analysis of Forex market.
An important feature of fundamental analysis is its global nature. Events, which are analyzed in fundamental analysis, have long-term influence on supply and demand on the currency market. This information is composed of the news about the world’s biggest political and financial events. It’s hard to overestimate the influenced the news has on financial markets: when the most important news is published, the market volatility increases.
It’s quite easy for an experienced trader to analyze and predict how a single event may influence the market. However, analysis of several events, which may influence the market in completely different ways, is a very complicated and time-consuming process. This may be the reason why only approximately 20% of traders use fundamental analysis as their main forecasting tool.
Fundamental approach to Forex market analysis, unlike technical one, covers not only the prices and their changes, but the reasons for these changes as well. Each approach has its followers, advantages and disadvantages.
On Wednesday, the AUD/USD pair is trading down after the release of the inflation report for Australia.
On Tuesday afternoon, the GBP/USD pair is trading lower against the publication of mixed data on GDP.
The most anticipated event of the last week was the ECB meeting and the subsequent press conference with Mario Draghi.
The AUD/USD pair strengthened on Monday on the Chinese news and the quiet external background.
Comments on the results of the October meeting of the European Central Bank have considerably weakened the euro currency.
The main currency pair is trading down on Thursday afternoon after the meeting of the European regulator.
On Thursday, the European Central Bank will hold a regular meeting, where the agenda will again be the issue of stimulating growth in the Eurozone.
The USD/CAD pair traded with an increase on expectations of the Bank of Canada retaining the interest rate.
The AUD/USD pair is now trading on the upside after fairly confident comments from the RBA.
The GBP/USD pair traded upward on Tuesday afternoon, in spite of the forthcoming Brexit discussions.
On Monday the AUD/USD pair is rising, despite the mixed Chinese statistics.
At the H1 chart, we can see the first downside target – the group of fibo-levels at 1.1310.
At the H4 chart of EUR USD, Tower and Engulfing Bearish patterns indicated a descending movement.
On Friday afternoon, the USD/JPY pair is trading with an increase in the anticipation of the Bank of Japan to mitigate the monetary conditions.
The AUD is winning back Monday losses for the second day in a row and seems ready to test the August highs.