Forex Fundamental analysis
One of the key factors, which has influence on any trader’s success is his ability to correctly predict the market movements. The two main methods are technical and fundamental analysis of Forex market.
An important feature of fundamental analysis is its global nature. Events, which are analyzed in fundamental analysis, have long-term influence on supply and demand on the currency market. This information is composed of the news about the world’s biggest political and financial events. It’s hard to overestimate the influenced the news has on financial markets: when the most important news is published, the market volatility increases.
It’s quite easy for an experienced trader to analyze and predict how a single event may influence the market. However, analysis of several events, which may influence the market in completely different ways, is a very complicated and time-consuming process. This may be the reason why only approximately 20% of traders use fundamental analysis as their main forecasting tool.
Fundamental approach to Forex market analysis, unlike technical one, covers not only the prices and their changes, but the reasons for these changes as well. Each approach has its followers, advantages and disadvantages.
As usually, Friday’s data on labor market is the markets’ most anticipated statistic of the month.
On Thursday morning, pair USD/JPY is trading with rising, but the borders of short-term range seems too strong.
On Thursday, Pair GBP/USD is trading with rising and moving away from the weeks-long "bottom".
On the day before, the February ADP data on labor market was released. The data anticipate official statistic that will be issued at the nearest Friday.
The AUD/USD pair is getting more expensive during the week – Aussee gets back the positive Australian statistic.
The basic currency pair is still sliding on Wednesday day, European statistic is ambiguous.
Suddenly, the good news came from the Euro zone, where unemployment has fallen to its lowest level since August 2011 and now is 10.3%.
On Tuesday afternoon, the AUD / USD pair is being trading in positive with the normal background.
Inflation in the Euro zone became negative once again for the first time since September last year, falling to the level of -0.2%.
The main currency pair continues to weaken, although no specific desire to sell is visible from investors.
The past week has ended for the dollar very well.
In the second half of the day, the GBP/USD pair is trading with an increase, but it has little effect on negative outlook.
The AUD/USD pair is "losing weight" on Thursday afternoon, sales in the instrument continues for the third day due to a combination of factors.
The USD/JPY pair is slowly growing on Wednesday afternoon, but a turn in the trend is still far off.
In the middle of the week, the AUD / USD pair retreats under pressure from the macroeconomic data block.